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The Global Economy Class Notes Money and Banking Revised: Spring 2015 This note is about the nuts and bolts of monetary policy. It builds on chapter 10 of the manuscript entitled “Macroeconomics: A Modern Perspective,” by Tom Cooley and Lee Ohanian. What is money? Astandard way to begin discussions of money is to try to define what it is. This is somewhat difficult to do because historically many things have been used as money - shells, beads, cigarettes, pieces of paper. What characteristics make any of these suitable as a form of money? One way to think about this is to define money in terms of the services it provides. Money is an asset. An asset is something that serves as a store of value. This means that it can be used as a way of transferring consumption between periods. But, lots of things, stocks, bonds, real estate, can and do fulfill that function. Money is really quite different from other assets because it provides another important service - it serves as a medium of exchange. The medium of exchange role implies that it is freely exchanged for goods and services and it has wide acceptance and (generally) well understood value. Another service that money provides is that it serves as a unit of account. The role of unit of account means that when we talk about the value of other assets or consumption goods we use monetary units as a standard way of denominating them. How does money come into being and why are people willing to accept some forms of money? We know that different forms of money have evolved naturally in many societies. One example that is often cited is that cigarettes became used as a form of money in prisoner of war camps during World War II. They are also often used as a form of money in U.S. prisons. What problems does the existence of an accepted form of money solve? The easiest way to understand this is to imagine a simple economy in which individuals all specialize in the production of a single good. Some grow wheat, some harvest wood, some raise chickens and some educate the young. The educators and wood harvesters have to eat, the food producers need wood and need to educate their young and so on. People benefit from transacting with one another. But if this were a pure barter world, then transactions could only take place when we found someone who offered in trade something we desire and who desired that which we produce. This is called the double coincidence of wants. The point is that transacting in such a world would be very inefficient. Suppose, instead that there were some accepted medium of exchange. It need not be anything with intrinsic Money and Banking 2 value. It could be stones of a certain size and shape, or pieces of paper embossed with a picture of long dead politicians. All that is required is that everyone agree that it is the medium of exchange and agree on its relative value. In this world, educators could now exchange education services for that type of money and use it to purchase wheat and wood without worrying about whether the producers of wheat and woods that he encountered had any need for education services. The acceptance of a medium of exchange thus facilitates transactions in the society because it removes an important impediment to economic activity. That is why money arises naturally. Now, lets talk about how we measure it. Because the distinguishing characteristic of money is its use to facilitate transactions, a definition of money should include assets commonly used to facilitate transactions and should exclude assets that are difficult or impossible to use for transactions. My house, for example, is an asset and a store of value, but it would be difficult to use for transactions because it is not divisible and there may be a lot of uncertainty about its value. Unfortunately, the distinction between these types of assets is not always very sharp and it has changed over time because of technology and improved access to information. Accordingly, there is not a unique empirical definition of money. Rather, there are several measures that we use and each of them tends to be useful for some purposes. In what follows we will discuss the monetary measures that are tracked in the United States. Although the discussion is specific to the United States these definitions tend to be fairly universally applied. The narrowest measure of the money supply counts only government–issued currency held by the non-bank public. This aggregate is included in all broader definitions of money and is called the currency component of the money supply. AsomewhatbroaderdefinitionofmoneyisknownasM1. Itincludes currency held by the non-bank public, travelers checks, and checkable deposits at commercial banks. A still broader definition of the money supply, known as M2, includes M1 plus savings deposits, small time deposits (under $100,000), money market mutual fund shares (MMMFs) held by the public, money market deposit accounts (MMDAs), overnight Eurodollar deposits in foreign branches of U.S. banks, and overnight repurchase agree- ments whereby a bank sells a security overnight to a non-bank institution. A still broader definition, M3, includes M2 plus large certificates of deposit and MMMFs held by institutions. When mentioning the money supply, most people have M2 in mind. For our purposes, however, the exact definition is not crucial. Table 1 shows the components of the various measures of money as of the start of November 2014 (figures are in billions of dollars). For comparison, nominal GDP in 2013 was about $16,768 billion. It is worth noting that what you might commonly think of as money, currency, is only a small fraction of these broader measures. But it is clear that all of these other components of money are available, to some degree or other, for transactions. Money and Banking 3 M1 2,900.6 Currency 1,234.3 Travelers Checks 3.0 Demand Deposits 1,175.9 Other Checkable Deposits 487.4 M2 11,488.3 Table 1: United States - Measures of Money Supply in November 2014 – Seasonally adjusted. Managing the money supply In the United States and in most other countries, it is the Central Bank that is charged with the task of controlling the money supply. The U.S. central bank is called the Federal Reserve. It was established in 1913 by an act of congress and has responsibility for regulating banks and, most importantly, for formulating and conducting monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is an independent central bank. This means that it formulates and implements policy independently of the government in power. This arrangement is not true of other countries and we will discuss the importance of this independence later on. There are 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks and a Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System that resides in Washington D.C.. Since the 1930’s power over monetary policy has been concentrated in the Federal Reserve Board and a group called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC consists of (i) the seven Governors of the Federal Reserve System, who are appointed by POTUS for staggered 14 year terms; (ii) the Chairman, currently Janet Yellen, who serves for a four year term; (iii) five of the regional bank presidents who serve on a rotating basis. The FOMC meets every six weeks. The Federal Reserve has no direct control of the money supply, but it influences its volume via the management of the monetary base, also known as high-powered money. The monetary base includes currency held by the non–bank public plus reserves held by commercial banks as backing for their deposit liabilities. Banks hold reserves in two forms, vault cash (piles of banknotes held in the basement) and reserve deposits maintained at one of the twelve regional Federal Reserve Banks. The term “monetary policy” refers to the actions undertaken by the Federal Reserve to influence the availability of money to the public. We will illustrate such actions with some detail. Before we do that, it will be useful to describe the features of a banking system where deposits must be backed by reserves. Banks hold reserves for two reasons. First, because they must be able to honor demandsforcashbytheirdepositors. Second, intheU.S. andinmanyothercountries, Money and Banking 4 they are required to maintain certain reserves. Whenever the reserve requirement is less than 100%, we have a fractional-reserve banking system. Variations in reserve requirements have at various times been an important tool of monetary policy. How those variations affect the economy is an important topic that we will discuss further. The significance of the fact that banks only have to keep fractional reserves is that banks can use a dollar of reserves to back several dollars of deposits. We now examine how commercial banks use additional reserves to create deposits. The table below illustrates a highly simplified balance sheet of a commercial bank. The major asset categories are reserves, earning assets, and buildings and facilities. The two main types of earning assets are loans made by the bank and securities (mainly government debt) held by the bank. The bank’s major liability is deposits held for its customers. Bank Balance Sheet Assets Liabilities Reserves Deposits Required Excess Earning Assets Securities Loans Buildings, etc. Net Worth Suppose we decided to start a student bank, to be run by the association of students. Initially all items on the balance sheet of Student Bank are zero. (For simplicity, we do not explicitly show net worth, securities, buildings and facilities, etc., on the balance sheet.) Now suppose that our customers deposit $1,000,000 of currency in the Bank (these are well-to-do students or there are lots of them!). This currency (now vault cash) counts as a part of Student Bank’s reserves. Suppose that the only regulation this bank faces is that it must maintain a certain fraction of its deposit as reserve. If the required reserve ratio is 0.2, Student Bank now has required reserves of $200 and excess reserves of $800. The following table shows the bank’s new balance sheet. When the interest it earns on reserves is lower than the opportunity cost, the bank wishes to convert its excess reserves into earning assets. Student Bank Assets(000’s) Liabilities (000’s) Reserves 1,000 Deposits 1,000 Required 200 Excess 800 Loans 0
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