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picture1_Tourism Pdf 200269 | Dosm Bpp 3 2020 Series 20


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File: Tourism Pdf 200269 | Dosm Bpp 3 2020 Series 20
dosm bpp 3 2020 series 20 prepared by mazreha ya akub nurti asmaria asril othman mohamed bpp domestic tourism domestic tourism comprises the activities of resident visitor within the country ...

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                                                                                                 DOSM/BPP/3.2020/Series 20
   Prepared by:
   MAZREHA YA’AKUB; NURTI ASMARIA ASRIL 
   & OTHMAN MOHAMED 
   BPP      DOMESTIC TOURISM
  “Domestic tourism comprises the activities of resident visitor within the
  country of reference either as part of a domestic tourism trip or part of an
  outboundtourismtrip” (IRTS, 2008)
    Measuring Domestic Tourism in Malaysia
    Based on the recommendation by UNWTO (IRTS 2008), the domestic tourism data
          collection is conducted by DOSM using a household approach.
    The survey is conducted on an annual basis using stratified two stage sampling (Primary
          stratum: state in Malaysia; Second stratum: urban & rural strata).
    The survey covered residents living in private dwellings and excludes those living in
          institutions such as hotels, hostels, hospitals, prisons, military barracks and boarding
          houses.
             Who is domestic visitor?                                                                Excursionist
  Resident/ those living in Malaysia (at least a year)                                     Malaysia resident who travel in
  including expatriate and non-citizen, who takes trip to a                                Malaysia for less than 24 hours
  main destination outside his/her usual environment, for                                  (at least 4 hours)
  less than a year for the purpose of business, leisure or
  personal other than to be employed by a resident entity                                                Tourist
  in the place visited.                                                                    Malaysia resident who travel in
  There are two type of visitor which is excursionist and                                  Malaysia for at least one night
  tourist.
          Year         Number of Visitors                       Chart 1: Number of Excursionists and Tourists, 
                             (million)                                                     2010-2018
          2010                115.5                  160.0                                                           134.9   143.0
          2011                131.0                  140.0                                           114.2   123.2
                                                     120.0                           98.5    108.5
          2012                141.4                  n100.0           85.3   92.1                                                 78.2
          2013                152.9                  oli80.0  75.9                                                66.0    70.5
                                                     li                                           60.7    62.7
          2014                169.3                  M60.0                45.7    49.4    54.4
                                                                  39.5
          2015                176.9                   40.0
                                                      20.0
          2016                189.3                     0.0
          2017                205.4                            2010    2011    2012    2013    2014    2015    2016    2017    2018
          2018                221.3
                                                                                   Excursionists  Tourists                          1
  Which trips is considered as domestic tourism trip?
   Domestic tourism trip is defined as a                 Chart 2 shows the number of domestic
   visitor’s trip to a destination outside his/her       tourism trips for the year 2010 to 2018. The
   usual environment within Malaysia, for any            number of trips increased over 100 million
   purpose other than to be employed by a                trips within eight years (2010-2018).
   resident entity in the place visited.
   There is two types of trip:                             Chart 2: Number of Domestic Tourism Trips, 
                                                     Million                2010-2018
     DAY TRIP                                       350.0
    Trip  from    living quarters   to  a main                                                   302.4
                                                    300.0                                   276.1
    destination for a distance of 50 km or more                                        253.9
                                                    250.0                          235.2
    (round trip). For distances less than 50 km                               217.5
    to and fro, the time taken has to be four       200.0                193.3
    hours and more (<24 hours), using tourism                  162.8 174.4
    facilities such as transport/ f&b/ recreation.  150.0 137.9
                                                    100.0
    OVERNIGHT TRIP                                  50.0
    Atrip for at least one night.                    0.0
                                                         2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  What is tourism expenditure?
  Domestic tourism expenditure is defined as a visitor’s expenditure for the acquisition of
  consumption goods and services, as well as valuables, for own use or to give away, for and
  during the tourism trips. It includes expenditure by visitor themselves, as well as paid or
  reimbursedby others within the economy reference.
  Excluded: the purchase of financial and non-financial assets (excluding valuables); the
  purchaseof goods for resale purposes, either on behalf of third party or own account.
        Chart 3: Total of Domestic Tourism Expenditure,    Tourism expenditure is an important
                          2010-2018                         measureofdomestictourism demand.
  100.0                                              92.6  The tourism demand is refer to tourism
                                               83.1         product    and    services    such    as
    80.0                             67.8 74.8              transportation,  fuel,  accommodation,
   n                      54.0  62.2                        food & beverage, tourism package,
   oilli60.0    42.3 47.8                                   entrance fee for recreational activity
    BM40.034.7                                              and other services/product related to
   R                                                        tourism activity.
    20.0                                                   Based on survey, the total expenditure
                                                            for domestic tourism trip in 2018 was
     0.0                                                    RM92.6billion (Chart 3).
         2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018                                               2
                                                       Source: Domestic Tourism Survey, Department of Statistics, Malaysia
                     COVID-19: GAME CHANGER FOR TOURISM INDUSTRY 
    The COVID-19 outbreak has generated both demand and supply shocks reverberating across
       the global economy
    At the sectoral level, tourism and travel-related industries will be among the hardest hit as
       authorities encourage “social distancing” and consumers stay indoors.
    Based on WTTC (2019), the travel and tourism activities has a direct economic impact to
       commodities, industries and source of spending. Therefore, the impact of this outbreak will have
       adirect impact on the following aspect:                                                                                     2020: ESTIMATED 
   1 Commodities                             2     Industries                        3 Sources of                                 GLOBAL IMPACT*
                                                                                            spending                          i. International tourist 
   •Accommodation                          •Accommodation                           •Resident’s                                 arrivals decline by 
   •Transportation                           services                                domestic T&T                               20% to 30%.
   •Entertainment                          •Food & beverages                         spending                                 ii.International tourism 
   •Attractions                              services                               •Businesses                                 receipts -loss of 300 to 
                                           •Retail Trade                             domestic travel                            450 US$ billion.
                                           •Transportation                           spending
                                             services                               •Visitor exports
                                           •Cultural, sports &                      •Individual                               (* the estimation is based 
                                             recreational                            government T&T                           on the worst-case 
                                             services                                spending                                 scenario.
   2020 FORECAST -INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVALS, WORLD                                                                       (Source: UNWTO)
   (MILLION)                                                                                                                   Est. impact on air transport
                                                                                                                           Region of airline         Est. on impact pass. 
                                                                                                                             registration           Revenue 2020 vs2019 
                                                                                                                                                           (US Bil.)
                                                                                                                          Africa                              -4
                                                                                                                          Asia Pacific                        -88
                                                                                                                          Europe                              -76
                                                                                                                          Latin America                       -15
                                                                                                                          Middle East                         -19
                                                                                                                          North America                       -50
                                                                                                                          TOTAL INDUSTRY                      -252
                     HIGHLIGHT: IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON SELECTED COUNTRIES
           INDONESIA                                       INDIA                                THAILAND                                 EUROPE
     The number of                             The estimated of                         Tourism industry in                       Number of airline 
     international arrivals                      total loss is ₹85                       Thailand lose $3.05                         passengers would 
     for January to                              billion due to travel                   billion due to the                          drop by 4.8 per 
     February  decline to                        restrictions                            drop in Chinese                             cent for the year 
     2.16 million with a                         imposed on foreign                      tourists numbers                            2020. 
     negative growth of                          tourists.                               (Jan-Apr).                                The estimated of 
     11.8% as compared                         38 million of job                                                                    total loss is 26 
     the same period last                        will affected (70                       (Time)                                      billion euros (value 
     year (2.45 mil.)                            per cent of tourism                                                                 of the global 
                                                 industry workforce.                                                                 business).
     (Jakarta Post)
                                               (Bussines Taveller))                                                                (Euronews)                            3
                                                                                              Source: Domestic Tourism Survey, Department of Statistics, Malaysia
            Impact of COVID-19 Outbreak on Malaysia Tourism Industry
     Total loss:RM3.37 billion*                                       Total loss:RM50 - RM60 billion*  
     Source: MOTAC, MalayMail, 13 March 2020                                  Source: estimated by Affin Hwang Capital
     *refer to January – February 2020                              *Assumption: 60%  decline in number of tourist arrivals (first 
                                                                    half 2020)
                   HIGHLIGHT: IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON TOURISM INDUSTRY
    Accommodation                                                         PassenggerTransport
     Revenueloss:                                                         Revenue: Airline industry faces an estimated 
              Before MCO: RM75.69 mil.                                       US$3.32 billion* loss in revenue.
              During MCO: RM560.72 mil.                                    In 2019, passenger traffic decline 34.4 per cent 
     Average occupancy rates projected to fall                              year on year (YoY) to  6.24 mil. (Feb 2019: 8.15 
        to 11%. (break even: > 40%).                                         mil.)
     Employment:                                                          Estimated growth of total passenger in 2020 is -
        - 17% laid off                                                       12% (2019: 4%) – Kenanga Research
        - 9.0% pay cut                                                     Employment: affected (unpaid leave)
        - 17.0% unpaid leave                                              *estimated by IATA with assumption: 3 month of 
    Source: Survey by Malaysia Hotel Association                          travel restriction
    (MAH),(The Star, 26 March 2020)                                       Source: NST, 30 March 2020 & The Edge, 3 April 
    Retail trade                                                          2020
     Although, the trip for purpose of shopping is                      Travel agencies
        limited due to MCO, the retail transaction can                    Travel agencies face potential liability of around 
        be made online.                                                      RM500 million from customers seeking 
     According Malaysian Digital Association,                               compensation, regardless of cancellation and 
        there is significant growth of online                                refund policies of various service providers.
        transaction in the third week of March as                         MATTA projected a total of RM150 million in 
        compared with the first two weeks of the                             losses during the school holidays due to the 
        month”                                                               Covid-19 outbreak.Out of total, RM52.5 million 
         i. Jaya Grocer and Happy Fresh (grocery                             worth of potential losses for umrah travel.
        delivery services) : +600%;                                       Travel agent also had a potential of RM100 
        ii. Mydin: +540%; and                                                million loss in outbound travel during the two-
        iii. Tesco: +450%.                                                   week May school holidays.
    (Source: Free Malaysia Today, 7 Apr 2020)                            Source: The Star, 12 Mac 2020 & FMT, 12 March
    Cultural, sports & recreational                                      2020
     During restriction on movements, all the                           Food & beverage
        business (non essentials) including sports,                       Restaurantsand food delivery services are 
        social and cultural activities are required to                       allowed to operate during MCO.
        shut down temporarily.                                            Forthe second phase of MCO, all the business 
     The closure of the business operation will                             allowed to operate between 8am to 8pm.
        affected total revenue of the company.
     Furthermore, the declining of number arrivals                     DISCLAIMER: The article in this newsletter is the initiative
        also affected all the business related to                       of DOSM officers based on ad-hoc observation and
        cultural, sports and recreational                               collection of brief information in the field during the
                                                                        Movement Control Order. It does not meet the country's
    Source: MOTAC media statement & Malay Mail,                         official  statistics    released standards. Therefore, the
    18 March 2020                                                       content of this newsletter cannot be interpreted as
                                                                        DOSM'sofficial statistics.
                                                                                                                                          4
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